Project Description

Study of the German heating market

The study provides a comprehensive quantitative assessment of energy heating demand of four regional gas markets in the Berlin-Brandenburg area in Germany belonging to the Netzgesellschaft Berlin Brandenburg.

With the help of computational programmes forecasts are derived under different policy scenarios and serve to picture future demand figures, providing producers with the relevant numbers to plan sales and investment decisions.In particular, the heating energy demand of all relevant energy carriers for different groups of customers is estimated. Calculations of current demand are based on time-series data of various energy statistics and the gas consumption is forecasted for the mid- and long term, whereby current demand figures deal as a starting point.

Commissioned by:

Year:

Netzgesellschaft Berlin Brandenburg (NBB)

2011 – 2014

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Study about the potential impact of the “Berliner Klimaschutzverordnung” (Climate Protection Law)

In this study we analyse the potential impact of the Berlin Climate Protection Law which was under discussion in the Senate in order to reduce emissions by 40% of the 1990 level. The law is intended to give priority to district heating for new buidlings and the modernisation of existing residential buildings. On the basis of a model for the Berlin heating market, we assess the impact of priority for district heating and compare it to alternative options. We adapt the model to our specific task and develop a baseline scenario and another four scenarios.

Commissioned by:

Year:

GASAG

2009

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Analysis of the current situation in 2009 and forecast for the heating market in the network regions Berlin, Brandenburg, Havelland and Forst

The analysis of the heating market and its influence on the development of the competition between energy carriers in the gas networks of Berlin, Brandenburg, Havelland and Forst is of high relevance for the transport planning of the NBB.
The analysis of the current situation in the heating market contains an analysis of its general development, an analysis of the market share of gas, of the market share of the other remaining energy carriers and an assessment of future demand for heating.

Commissioned by:

Year:

GASAG

2010

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Analysis of the currenet situation in 2012 and forecast for the heating market in the network regions Berlin, Brandenburg, Forst und Spreegas

The analysis of the heating market and its influence on the development of the competition between energy carriers in the gas networks of Berlin, Brandenburg, Forst and Spreegas is of high relevance for the transport planning of the NBB.
The analysis of the current situation in the heating market contains an analysis of its general development, an analysis of the market share of gas, of the market share of the other remaining energy carriers and an assessment of future demand for heating.

Commissioned by:

Year:

GASAG

2012

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